With only 15 days until the next US election, it seems there is as much uncertainty as the last election, and the last one, and the one before that. Ok you get it, every election year is confusing but, maybe it’s designed that way. However, on this fine Monday morning we have all woken up to another election hashtag: #TRUMP2020ToSaveAmerica is trending on twitter. And although some of this is just simple sarcasm and trolling, many more are from real Trump supports.
If there is one thing that we have learnt this year, it’s that Trump supports are extremely loyal. So, it is very unlikely that Biden will be able to sway any large number of Trump supports within the next two weeks. Trump did win the last election and since then his following has grown exponentially.
During Trumps four years in office he has shaken the world in one way or other. The world hasn’t been this interested in a US Presidential election since 2008. They all want to know who be severing the top office for the next four years, and although it is an American decision, the US presidency can affect many countries around world in one way or other.
Likely outcomes of the election.
So, lets get back to it. Who is most likely to win this election? Well I have no idea. What I can tell you is that I have had my eye on twitter and other social media platforms for the past few weeks. One thing I can tell you, is that, for good or bad, the name Donald Trump trends much more than Joe Biden ever has.
I have tried to read these tweets to try and understand what people are thinking when they mention #DonaldTrump. I can’t say what percentage of these hash tags are for Trump, or against trump. What I can say is that I see more Trump supporters on twitter than Biden supporters, although I see more Anti-Trump tweets than Pro-Biden tweets.
If we assume that anyone who is Anti-Trump is Pro-Biden, then we could say that there are a lot of Biden supporters on social media, however, they don’t make this clear. What could cost Trump this election is if all these Anti-Trump accounts are indeed Biden supports and voters. They may not support Biden per say but rather the “Anyone else” movement that started in early 2020 where people actually had pickets in their garden that read “Anyone Else 2020”.
But none of this really matters anyway, as we know from the last election, social media can be state sponsored or even privately sponsored. Meaning that what you see on social media regarding elections can be manipulated by foreign or domestic interests and are not necessarily views of real people.
So, I guess we are back to the start of my original question, who is most likely to win this election? Please start at the beginning of this post for answers, round and round we go. I guess the only real way to know will be to wait for the results to be in. Then I will see you back here in 2024 where we can start all over again. Until then, make sure you get out there and vote!.
Read the Latest #TRUMP2020ToSaveAmerica Tweets on Twitter
Election 2020 Countdown